Overview of Our Climate Resilience Assessment Process
a. Climate Scenarios
Understanding climate information is crucial for assessing
the impact of both physical and transition risks across
various future scenarios and making informed decisions for
adaptation and mitigation strategies. This is critical as it
allows us to assess potential future impacts of both
physical hazards and the transition to a low-carbon economy.
By considering various climate futures, we can make informed
decisions on adaptation strategies to strengthen our
operations and mitigation efforts to reduce our
environmental footprint, ensuring long-term business
resilience.
IPCC's Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 and
4.5 was selected for our analysis. RCP 8.5 represents a high
emission scenario, indicating a future where greenhouse gas
emissions continue to rise rapidly leading results in
greater impacts from physical hazards such as higher global
temperature increase, intense extreme weather events and
faster sea-level rise as a consequence of inaction on
climate change. Conversely, RCP 4.5 represents a scenario
where emissions peak around mid-century before declining. By
considering both pathways, we encompass a broad spectrum of
potential future emissions trajectories for climate-related
physical risks.
Our definitions of short-term (1-5 years), medium-term (6-15
years), and long-term (16 years and beyond) closely mirror
the general timeframes used in our strategic
decision-making. The 2030-2060 timeframe, which falls under
medium-term to long-term, was chosen to match the projected
timelines of climate models and the operational lifespan of
assets, ensuring the assessments remain relevant.
Additionally, in 2025, we plan to evaluate the impacts of
the low-carbon transition and climate-related transition
risks and opportunities on our business under the RCP 2.6
scenario.
Understanding climate information is crucial for assessing
the impact of both physical and transition risks across
various future scenarios and making informed decisions for
adaptation and mitigation strategies. This is critical as it
allows us to assess potential future impacts of both
physical hazards and the transition to a low-carbon economy.
By considering various climate futures, we can make informed
decisions on adaptation strategies to strengthen our
operations and mitigation efforts to reduce our
environmental footprint, ensuring long-term business
resilience.